PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4E250ba4D2AF21b6054d89013bd63719C4930868-1772972576562

0x4e250ba4d2af21b6054d89013bd63719c4930868

Realised P&L
$1.53
Volume
$52.09
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$3.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2110.222$1.05+$0.05
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.988$1.03+$0.03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1720.090$0.53−$0.47
Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.6500.260$0.40−$0.60
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7600.010$0.01−$0.99
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.2810.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12? · No0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-17 15:22Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.65$1.00
03-17 15:21Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
03-17 15:15Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.171999872$1.00
03-17 15:15Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2109998555$1.00
03-17 15:14Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.25$1.00
03-08 13:19Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1089999139$1.00
03-08 13:19Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1156990858$1.00
03-08 13:19Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1559998783$1.00
03-08 13:16Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.4709998064$1.00
03-08 13:16Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?BUY0.239999856$1.00
03-08 13:14Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.962$1.00
03-08 13:13Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.32$1.00