0x4E250ba4D2AF21b6054d89013bd63719C4930868-1772972576562
0x4e250ba4d2af21b6054d89013bd63719c4930868
- Realised P&L
- $-0.08
- Volume
- $52.09
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $3.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.981 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.211 | 0.209 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.117 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.315 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.155 | $0.20 | −$0.80 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.41at 0.156Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.12at 0.471Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-17 15:22 | Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 15:21 | Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 15:15 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.171999872 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 15:15 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2109998555 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 15:14 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 13:19 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1089999139 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 13:19 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1156990858 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 13:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1559998783 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 13:16 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4709998064 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 13:16 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 13:14 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 13:13 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |