OmskBird
0x4e1fc4e94600580cf1446db2c168d8c5c038aa60
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $116.7k
- Markets traded
- 370
- Open portfolio
- $195.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded370
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$961.08at 0.238Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 13?
- +$640.63at 0.438Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?
- +$439.31at 0.807Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 20?
- +$402.79at 0.598Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17?
- +$345.83at 0.805Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 16:00 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3704438711 | $700.00 |
| 07-09 18:42 | Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.3555467749 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 18:41 | Will "The Odyssey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.0319275627 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 18:41 | Will "The Odyssey" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.0330000001 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 18:41 | Will "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 18:41 | Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.3403080258 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 18:39 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0847234104 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 18:38 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31? | BUY | 0.5688622711 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 18:38 | Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.6299999483 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 18:37 | Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 18:37 | Will the announcers say "Corner" 15+ times during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 18:37 | Will the announcers say "Composure" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.8199999377 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 18:37 | Will the announcers say "Onside" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.8399999664 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 18:37 | Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 18:36 | Will the announcers say "Cleat" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |