ars-gdl
0x4e1322e22e12f14d9a239f1909afe8042080b20b
- Realised P&L
- $-157.66
- Volume
- $63.5k
- Markets traded
- 7,842
- Open portfolio
- $12.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,842
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.61at 0.195Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$41.48at 0.213Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$26.74at 0.344Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$15.97at 0.451Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$15.71at 0.670Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 22:57 | Will CD Tolima vs. Boyacá Chicó FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8799999683 | $1.11 |
| 10-03 22:57 | Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 22:56 | Will CSD Cobán Imperial win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.25 |
| 10-03 22:44 | United States vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7699999168 | $1.11 |
| 10-03 22:44 | United States vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7699999168 | $1.11 |
| 10-03 22:42 | Will CSD Cobán Imperial win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.8799999683 | $1.11 |
| 10-03 09:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.11 |
| 10-03 09:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.11 |
| 10-03 09:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999578 | $1.11 |
| 10-03 09:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $1.11 |
| 10-03 09:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.859999907 | $1.11 |
| 10-03 09:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.11 |
| 10-03 09:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.11 |
| 10-03 08:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.11 |
| 10-03 08:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.11 |