PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ars-gdl

0x4e1322e22e12f14d9a239f1909afe8042080b20b

Realised P&L
$-157.66
Volume
$63.5k
Markets traded
7,842
Open portfolio
$12.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,842
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
United States vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7700.765$3.31−$0.02
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.8800.967$2.44+$0.22
Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.8600.490$1.26−$0.95
Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5 · Over0.8700.945$1.21+$0.10
Will CD Tolima vs. Boyacá Chicó FC end in a draw? · Yes0.8800.875$1.10−$0.01
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.6900.685$0.99−$0.01
Will Senegal win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.8900.775$0.97−$0.14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4300.355$0.92−$0.19
Will Antigua GFC win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$1.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Up0.8940.000$0.00−$3.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00−$1.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET · Up0.9800.000$0.00−$1.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Down0.7200.000$0.00−$1.11
CD Guadalajara to score first vs. Querétaro FC? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$1.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Up0.3450.000$0.00−$4.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 22:57Will CD Tolima vs. Boyacá Chicó FC end in a draw?BUY0.8799999683$1.11
10-03 22:57Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-03 22:56Will CSD Cobán Imperial win on 2026-10-03?SELL0.992$1.25
10-03 22:44United States vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5BUY0.7699999168$1.11
10-03 22:44United States vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5BUY0.7699999168$1.11
10-03 22:42Will CSD Cobán Imperial win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.8799999683$1.11
10-03 09:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.98$1.11
10-03 09:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.95$1.11
10-03 09:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.7799999578$1.11
10-03 09:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.84$1.11
10-03 09:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.859999907$1.11
10-03 09:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.99$1.11
10-03 09:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.98$1.11
10-03 08:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.99$1.11
10-03 08:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.96$1.11