overlay69
0x4e0afd166e16da75d91bd7dc3bcb92b25b93c288
- Realised P&L
- $130.32
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $246.89
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.67at 0.763U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?
- +$42.23at 0.757Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
- +$33.12at 0.770Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
- +$32.09at 0.742Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?
- +$25.04at 0.617Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 08:55 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $203.11 |
| 06-17 08:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 08:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 10:23 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.7699999815 | $20.00 |
| 06-13 09:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999954 | $40.00 |
| 06-13 09:27 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8429999976 | $50.00 |
| 06-13 09:26 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-12 13:20 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $100.00 |
| 06-12 12:42 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.7699999935 | $20.00 |
| 06-12 12:42 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.7699999954 | $30.00 |
| 06-12 12:41 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 12:32 | Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30? | SELL | 0.974 | $2.44 |
| 06-12 12:20 | Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.994 | $8.72 |
| 06-12 12:18 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | SELL | 0.959 | $19.18 |
| 06-12 12:13 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.86 | $31.22 |