PolyBot

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Traders

0x4d9D49e7080CA5eB90331040218750C0DA0953E8-1770464605967

0x4d9d49e7080ca5eb90331040218750c0da0953e8

Realised P&L
$-3.59
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$29.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 09:35US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.8899999967$29.62
09-28 08:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.963994809$22.29
09-17 10:22Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.9669999997$37.77
08-28 08:41US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?BUY0.0259999899$2.44
08-12 08:56US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.0196841382$1.29
07-24 09:08Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?BUY0.9629999992$3.62
07-17 10:33Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?BUY0.7099999348$2.07
07-10 07:370 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?BUY0.9789999436$3.94
07-04 08:28Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?BUY0.9599999383$11.21
06-27 11:42US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?BUY0.1399999712$4.08
06-21 11:19Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.05$6.59
06-12 07:29US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?BUY0.22$19.36
06-03 10:07Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?BUY0.0877734325$14.98
05-27 10:12US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?BUY0.8499999799$33.85
05-18 08:08Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?BUY0.0699999947$11.66