PolyBot

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Traders

yunlongnick

0x4d768c0863592d93ade9addfb2542dd7398964b9

Realised P&L
$-72.09
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$318.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.8300.980$248.20+$37.88
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5490.955$49.85+$21.19
New pandemic before 2028? · Yes0.1900.130$10.22−$4.72
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.3700.295$7.13−$1.81
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.2690.074$2.04−$5.35
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · Yes0.0800.026$1.48−$2.99
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$4.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 06:54Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.08$4.47
09-24 17:152026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.3699999872$8.94
09-22 09:58New pandemic before 2028?BUY0.1899999999$14.94
06-04 16:53Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?BUY0.1499999729$4.43
06-04 16:47Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.2694270609$7.39
02-22 18:21Will Trump visit China by March 31?SELL0.271$4.13
01-14 04:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.5490421456$28.66
11-12 17:22Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?SELL0.93$45.77
10-10 16:07Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY0.4599999777$7.01
10-06 13:22Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?BUY0.1399999611$2.81
09-25 16:43Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.8299999998$210.32
09-25 16:39Xi Jinping out in 2025?SELL0.93$219.71
08-07 17:40Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?BUY0.5299999832$6.96
07-30 17:06Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.9$69.67
07-30 08:10US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?BUY0.05$1.39