ms6300
0x4d7563f16a602d90ef8b6260a5121535eba9c746
- Realised P&L
- $-0.48
- Volume
- $53.00
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $49.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.945 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.964 | 0.970 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? · Yes | 0.934 | 0.927 | $9.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.921 | 0.914 | $9.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.911 | $9.40 | −$0.60 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:20 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 21:19 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999985 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 20:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9209999407 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 20:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.9339999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 20:18 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |