PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4D5BbBEe74D185bE8fA1cD955081884F9b36aCDC-1768296371678

0x4d5bbbee74d185be8fa1cd955081884f9b36acdc

Realised P&L
$-927.07
Volume
$62.4k
Markets traded
3,066
Open portfolio
$44.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,066
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No0.8600.885$7.52+$0.21
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · No0.8050.770$6.16−$0.28
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? · No0.6200.635$5.40+$0.13
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? · No0.6700.670$5.36+$0.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · No0.7800.820$5.33+$0.26
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No0.8500.855$5.13+$0.03
Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-08? · Yes0.2200.215$3.98−$0.09
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe · Yannick Hanfmann0.3000.295$3.19−$0.05
Palermo: Gabriele Piraino vs Enrico Dalla Valle · Gabriele Piraino0.3500.275$2.48−$0.68
Braga: Olle Wallin vs Lukas Neumayer · Olle Wallin0.3000.000$0.00−$3.84
Braga: Ryan Nijboer vs Marvin Moeller · Ryan Nijboer0.3100.000$0.00−$4.03
Samsun: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Bianca Andreescu · Mariam Bolkvadze0.2200.000$0.00−$0.85
Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov · Petr Nesterov0.3000.000$0.00−$2.10
Braga: Patrick Schoen vs Max Alcala Gurri · Patrick Schoen0.3000.000$0.00−$3.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 14:07Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.67$5.36
10-08 14:03Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.78$5.07
10-08 11:11Shanghai Rolex Masters: Martin Landaluce vs Jan-Lennard StruffSELL0.999$9.24
10-08 09:54Shanghai Rolex Masters: Martin Landaluce vs Jan-Lennard StruffBUY0.6699999787$6.29
10-08 00:21Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesSELL0.37$3.88
10-07 22:35Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.48$5.04
10-07 22:23Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesSELL0.44$3.96
10-07 01:36Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?BUY0.85$5.10
10-07 01:32Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?BUY0.62$5.27
10-07 01:31Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.57$5.13
10-07 01:31Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?BUY0.89$5.34
10-07 01:07Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesSELL0.99$9.90
10-06 23:36Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.805$6.44
10-06 23:04Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.51$5.10
10-05 13:45Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias YmerSELL0.99$8.91