shiepapito
0x4d45927738376db79e72c78f4a2f9637c424652a
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $1.14M
- Markets traded
- 1,776
- Open portfolio
- $616.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,776
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$623.94at 0.417Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1440.00 and 1459.99 at the end of January 2026?
- +$420.24at 0.189Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 25?
- +$398.48at 0.495Will "Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$332.28at 0.282Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$296.15at 0.621Will AWP | Printstream win the HLTV Skin of the Year award?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 09-16 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $55.82 |
| 09-16 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9987443061 | $201.28 |
| 09-14 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.95 |
| 09-14 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9988569027 | $130.74 |
| 09-14 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.41 | $12.42 |
| 09-14 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-14 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.08 |
| 09-14 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9986240602 | $53.13 |
| 09-10 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.86 |
| 09-10 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.95 |
| 09-10 17:12 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 09-08 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.9988718589 | $140.00 |
| 09-02 21:22 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | SELL | 0.5270721526 | $286.50 |
| 09-02 21:21 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | SELL | 0.9442995242 | $305.65 |