PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shiepapito

0x4d45927738376db79e72c78f4a2f9637c424652a

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$1.14M
Markets traded
1,776
Open portfolio
$616.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,776
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2690.204$183.60$58.50
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes0.3100.155$162.62$162.71
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3600.395$118.50+$10.50
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0600.045$60.57$20.19
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2200.180$54.00$12.00
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1200.045$22.50$37.50
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8800.775$12.40$1.68
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes0.1500.061$1.84$2.65
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.0260.009$0.81$1.69
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.0500.002$0.15$4.85
Will The Weeknd perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$5.00
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$37.40
La Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edul · Edul0.2350.000$0.00$48.11
Will the announcers say "Convert" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$23.59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 14? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:25Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 16?BUY0.998$49.90
09-16 14:25Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 16?BUY0.998$55.82
09-16 14:24Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 16?BUY0.9987443061$201.28
09-14 14:20Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 14?BUY0.999$44.95
09-14 14:18Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 14?BUY0.9988569027$130.74
09-14 14:16Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on September 14?BUY0.41$12.42
09-14 14:14Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?BUY0.77$3.85
09-14 14:13Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 14?BUY0.009$1.08
09-14 14:11Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 14?BUY0.9986240602$53.13
09-10 17:21Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 10?BUY0.999$32.86
09-10 17:18Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 10?BUY0.999$74.95
09-10 17:12Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.52$104.00
09-08 16:08Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 8?BUY0.9988718589$140.00
09-02 21:22Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?SELL0.5270721526$286.50
09-02 21:21Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?SELL0.9442995242$305.65