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Traders

bitcoinmafia

0x4d3e6f882536f5bde89d20a64e2198b1c1e8783b

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$2.84M
Markets traded
1,220
Open portfolio
$22.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,220
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No0.5210.905$11.0k+$4.7k
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.3010.865$5.7k+$3.7k
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6100.825$3.7k+$967.49
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · No0.4280.935$767.91+$416.18
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.5870.230$271.39$421.19
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4620.228$270.65$278.27
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.915$236.50+$94.34
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2900.835$56.95+$37.17
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? · No0.6350.935$36.76+$11.78
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.4600.025$24.50$435.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 15:34Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.32$783.65
09-01 15:33Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.33$791.44
08-17 22:06Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.8$208.00
08-17 20:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?SELL0.1$68.32
08-17 17:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?SELL0.26$14.31
08-17 17:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?SELL0.26$82.38
08-17 15:14Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.84$623.19
08-17 15:12Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$19.78
08-17 10:26Will Sri Lanka win?BUY0.049990099$100.98
08-17 10:25Test Match: Sri Lanka vs India - Match goes to Day 4?BUY0.1$200.00
08-16 16:57Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$2.3k
08-13 07:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?BUY0.2992114$598.42
08-12 15:39Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$669.90
07-30 09:35Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$3.9k
07-30 09:27Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6$657.14
Trader bitcoinmafia · PolyBot Pro