RolandChang
0x4d1bcbaeed22c6da173b1a356c3c6d2270081419
- Realised P&L
- $-740.27
- Volume
- $2.34M
- Markets traded
- 735
- Open portfolio
- $9.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded735
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.197Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$3.0kat 0.143Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$2.4kat 0.139Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.0kat 0.903US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.961GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 07:08 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? | BUY | 0.9795261312 | $55.85 |
| 10-30 07:07 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? | SELL | 0.0205839112 | $1.48 |
| 10-30 07:02 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $268.32 |
| 10-30 07:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $415.00 |
| 10-29 10:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.54 | $530.55 |
| 10-28 06:07 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $137.99 |
| 10-28 05:30 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.49 | $98.00 |
| 10-28 05:29 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 19:21 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.66 | $99.00 |
| 10-27 19:02 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.65 | $0.63 |
| 10-27 17:06 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.77 | $385.00 |
| 10-26 16:18 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.602 | $4.53 |
| 10-26 10:23 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.73 | $109.50 |
| 10-26 10:23 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.73 | $219.00 |
| 10-20 05:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.72 | $885.62 |