Tirante
0x4d1722852fb71b0c8b8a447b5a91e70f8716a23c
- Realised P&L
- $-14.07
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $75.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.05at 0.134Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
- +$39.05at 0.156Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
- +$31.89at 0.115Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
- +$15.75at 0.160Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?
- +$12.79at 0.190Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 18:55 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999971 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 18:55 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 18:55 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0154513147 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:55 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | BUY | 0.0095794616 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 18:47 | Will Pete Hegseth be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.016198241 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 18:38 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | BUY | 0.048868543 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 21:59 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | BUY | 0.0190494333 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:53 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | BUY | 0.0108268071 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:33 | Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1079999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:44 | Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 19:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.2639999852 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:21 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:07 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.7799999688 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 22:43 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |