PolyBot

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Traders

Tirante

0x4d1722852fb71b0c8b8a447b5a91e70f8716a23c

Realised P&L
$-14.07
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
153
Open portfolio
$75.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded153
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.7800.790$9.12+$0.12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0970.871$8.98+$7.98
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.085$6.06−$3.94
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.2100.355$5.07+$2.07
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.7700.875$3.41+$0.41
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.9400.950$3.03+$0.03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9630.955$2.97−$0.03
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.0320.032$2.94−$0.06
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8870.869$2.94−$0.06
Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election? · Yes0.2600.240$2.77−$0.23
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.3200.295$2.77−$0.23
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes0.0900.245$2.72+$1.72
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.1100.095$2.59−$0.41
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.050$2.50−$0.50
Will Pete Hegseth be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.0160.013$2.41−$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 18:55Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2027?BUY0.1099999971$3.00
10-12 18:55Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$3.00
10-12 18:55Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?BUY0.0154513147$1.00
10-12 18:55Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?BUY0.0095794616$1.00
10-12 18:48Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.2099999895$3.00
10-12 18:47Will Pete Hegseth be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.016198241$3.00
10-12 18:38Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?BUY0.048868543$2.00
10-07 21:59Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?BUY0.0190494333$1.00
09-28 19:53Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?BUY0.0108268071$1.00
09-28 19:33Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1079999914$1.00
09-28 18:44Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-18 19:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.2639999852$1.00
09-18 18:21Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-18 18:07Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.7799999688$3.00
09-15 22:43Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.0899999928$1.00