PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rmngod

0x4d12406c3760c1a130ac66cbafd8f9cf68e229d9

Realised P&L
$-28.40
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$15.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs · OG0.1901.000$5.26+$4.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.6000.605$2.02+$0.02
Will Trump say "Merit" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? · No0.5901.000$1.69+$0.69
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.5000.395$1.58−$0.42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4600.350$1.52−$0.48
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.225$0.98−$0.02
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.3400.325$0.96−$0.04
Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.4900.205$0.42−$0.58
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1800.048$0.27−$0.73
Will Trump resign before 2027? · Yes0.0800.020$0.25−$0.75
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1220.019$0.16−$0.84
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.019$0.14−$0.86
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 22:54Will Trump say "Merit" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-27 22:53Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-27 22:51Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsBUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-27 22:51Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-27 22:50Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.5$2.00
10-27 22:50Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.59999994$2.00
10-27 22:50Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-27 22:48Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-27 22:48Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.2$1.00
10-27 22:46Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
07-19 13:32Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0409999622$1.00
07-19 13:31Will Solana dip to $70 in July?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
07-19 13:30Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.4$1.00
07-19 13:28Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$1.00
07-19 13:27Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5924999541$2.00