rmngod
0x4d12406c3760c1a130ac66cbafd8f9cf68e229d9
- Realised P&L
- $-28.40
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $15.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.69at 0.130Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
- +$4.82at 0.197Will the price of Solana be above $160 on November 5?
- +$4.75at 0.174Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1
- +$2.70at 0.270Will MrBeast change his X profile picture by December 31?
- +$1.33at 0.605Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 22:54 | Will Trump say "Merit" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 22:53 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 22:51 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 22:51 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 22:50 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 22:50 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 22:50 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 22:48 | Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 22:48 | Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 22:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 13:32 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999622 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 13:31 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 13:30 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 13:28 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 13:27 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5924999541 | $2.00 |