0x4d0ec0b1b1dbf586c0a546a6d4c9014e12544b51
0x4d0ec0b1b1dbf586c0a546a6d4c9014e12544b51
- Realised P&L
- $28.39
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $109.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.55at 0.330Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$11.87at 0.296Timberwolves vs. Rockets
- +$11.23at 0.416Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$8.28at 0.319Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$7.94at 0.557UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 21:23 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:31 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.16 |
| 10-11 09:00 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.14 |
| 10-10 02:03 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.46 |
| 10-09 20:31 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? | BUY | 0.2599999626 | $1.25 |
| 10-09 07:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.9899999119 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 21:18 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.19 |
| 10-08 20:10 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.12 |
| 10-08 18:52 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.24 |
| 10-08 15:16 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999482 | $3.06 |
| 10-08 14:46 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 23:33 | Ravens vs. Browns | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 16:22 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 16:22 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 13:56 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999841 | $3.21 |