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Traders

0x4cFde1F86106d32Eb10c1576224DcF9ede04BEF3-1770845647674

0x4cfde1f86106d32eb10c1576224dcf9ede04bef3

Realised P&L
$180.92
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? · Yes0.9240.930$613.80+$3.80
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.4180.550$394.30+$94.30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3500.185$52.86$47.14
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No0.6000.000$0.00$61.83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 03:36Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?BUY0.9599999988$310.00
07-27 03:36Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.4554455441$200.00
07-27 03:33Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?SELL0.994$104.72
06-15 19:21Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?BUY0.94$1.96
06-15 19:20Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?SELL0.027$0.80
06-15 19:20US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0166453053$1.16
06-15 01:49Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9691149727$186.59
06-15 01:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.73$186.58
06-15 01:46Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999996$95.01
06-15 01:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.36$95.01
06-02 20:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.7899999994$37.14
06-02 20:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
06-02 20:08Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9099999975$100.00
06-02 20:07Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?SELL0.996$237.14
06-02 20:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.7899999976$48.60