PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4CD675A23ad62247851ae387Bb47cd821A83f74b-1776544470486

0x4cd675a23ad62247851ae387bb47cd821a83f74b

Realised P&L
$-964.32
Volume
$50.0k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$884.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration84.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0240.018$750.62$263.95
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.0800.033$133.68$196.32
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$50.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$107.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · No0.2210.000$0.00$347.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-28 17:48Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.024$907.64
04-18 22:40US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.0802274493$330.00
04-18 22:38Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY0.2210893348$347.00
04-18 22:37Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0599999989$50.00
04-18 22:33Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.1699999989$107.00
04-18 22:31Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0210879858$107.00