0x4CD675A23ad62247851ae387Bb47cd821A83f74b-1776544470486
0x4cd675a23ad62247851ae387bb47cd821a83f74b
- Realised P&L
- $-964.32
- Volume
- $50.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $884.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration84.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.018 | $750.62 | −$263.95 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.033 | $133.68 | −$196.32 |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$107.00 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · No | 0.221 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$347.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 17:48 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.024 | $907.64 |
| 04-18 22:40 | US military draft authorized in 2026? | BUY | 0.0802274493 | $330.00 |
| 04-18 22:38 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.2210893348 | $347.00 |
| 04-18 22:37 | Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999989 | $50.00 |
| 04-18 22:33 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.1699999989 | $107.00 |
| 04-18 22:31 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0210879858 | $107.00 |