PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Vvv

0x4cd4c3690adc86de3b881ffbfb93a8c306335b25

Realised P&L
$-8.2k
Volume
$2.11M
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$133.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8750.895$104.7k+$2.4k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.8930.988$14.9k+$1.4k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9200.945$5.1k+$135.87
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8100.835$4.7k+$139.63
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · No0.8000.915$1.8k+$230.00
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9060.965$1.8k+$108.58
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8220.955$580.64+$80.64
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · No0.8000.960$90.72+$15.12
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.6510.000$0.00$289.69
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.8500.000$0.00$1.3k
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? · No0.9150.000$0.00$1000.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.9550.000$0.00$4.4k
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.8600.000$0.00$2.2k
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.0k
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency? · Yes0.2260.000$0.00$111.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 19:14Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.88$3.5k
08-09 19:14Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$37.6k
08-09 17:51Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8879188425$20.0k
08-09 16:57Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.88$20.0k
08-09 16:51Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.7962519866$2.4k
08-04 11:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.999$7.5k
08-04 11:16Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.86$33.3k
08-04 11:16Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.98$2.8k
08-04 11:14Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.94445001$4.7k
08-04 11:13Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.961$6.1k
06-25 19:15Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9234481466$598.64
06-25 19:15Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9276264925$4.4k
06-25 19:14Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?SELL0.995$8.2k
06-25 19:13Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?SELL0.9950240684$3.3k
06-25 19:12Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?SELL0.9955483515$2.4k