MastroJerome
0x4cb0b88055e7890916f88c6158be0f4e7d870cbe
- Realised P&L
- $-419.02
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $82.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.570 | 0.885 | $77.63 | +$27.63 |
| Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.160 | $5.12 | −$2.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.68at 0.438Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$31.95at 0.118Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$20.43at 0.570Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?
- +$18.23at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$17.43at 0.371O/U 4.5 Rounds
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.03 |
| 10-17 14:25 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.3689999988 | $8.89 |
| 10-15 09:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | SELL | 0.75 | $4.54 |
| 10-15 09:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 09:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.82 |
| 10-15 09:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 12:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 12:31 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September? | BUY | 0.0364864857 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 12:30 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September? | BUY | 0.0245522143 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 12:30 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.5213114737 | $6.00 |
| 10-13 20:11 | Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.00 |
| 10-12 09:02 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 18:08 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0420047727 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999975 | $2.55 |