0x4CA7cD35db5Ba1dE4241a7a8b83ce9a45132e965-1770042702003
0x4ca7cd35db5ba1de4241a7a8b83ce9a45132e965
- Realised P&L
- $-419.29
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 396
- Open portfolio
- $65.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded396
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.04at 0.716Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Game Hunters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs
- +$61.08at 0.554LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
- +$48.56at 0.292Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- +$45.67at 0.352Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$45.50at 0.300Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 21:40 | Spread: Heat (-2.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $5.07 |
| 10-27 04:36 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A | BUY | 0.64 | $8.32 |
| 10-26 06:41 | Spread: Cowboys (-10.5) | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 10-26 04:38 | Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.58 | $9.86 |
| 10-26 03:50 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.32 |
| 10-24 10:15 | Will Democrats win 14 or more House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.16 |
| 10-24 09:49 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.95 |
| 10-24 09:46 | Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.95 |
| 10-24 09:39 | First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election? | BUY | 0.912 | $15.50 |
| 10-24 03:54 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.80 |
| 10-24 03:35 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.18 |
| 10-24 03:34 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | BUY | 0.84 | $5.88 |
| 10-24 03:23 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 10-21 07:27 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 10-21 07:04 | Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election? | BUY | 0.64 | $17.28 |