PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4CA7cD35db5Ba1dE4241a7a8b83ce9a45132e965-1770042702003

0x4ca7cd35db5ba1de4241a7a8b83ce9a45132e965

Realised P&L
$-419.29
Volume
$17.1k
Markets traded
396
Open portfolio
$65.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded396
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 21:40Spread: Heat (-2.5)BUY0.39$5.07
10-27 04:36Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group ABUY0.64$8.32
10-26 06:41Spread: Cowboys (-10.5)BUY0.7$7.00
10-26 04:38Timberwolves vs. CavaliersBUY0.58$9.86
10-26 03:50Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.64$8.32
10-24 10:15Will Democrats win 14 or more House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.86$5.16
10-24 09:49Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.45$4.95
10-24 09:46Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.45$4.95
10-24 09:39First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?BUY0.912$15.50
10-24 03:54Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8$4.80
10-24 03:35Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$5.18
10-24 03:34Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageBUY0.84$5.88
10-24 03:23Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?BUY0.65$6.50
10-21 07:27Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.62$6.20
10-21 07:04Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?BUY0.64$17.28