0x4ca4d91e8c7e993f0df777458c972cb982e65c04
- Realised P&L
- $25.90
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $143.72
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.78at 0.341Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$28.05at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$25.03at 0.249Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$20.37at 0.280Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?
- +$10.09at 0.440Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:47 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.00 |
| 09-16 02:10 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $8.00 |
| 09-12 03:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999808 | $6.18 |
| 09-10 08:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6299999573 | $1.18 |
| 09-08 23:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.02 |
| 09-08 02:38 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999846 | $8.00 |
| 09-07 18:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.779999998 | $8.00 |
| 09-07 10:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999818 | $8.00 |
| 09-03 21:13 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.339999983 | $8.00 |
| 08-23 05:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.81 |
| 08-20 19:21 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999885 | $8.00 |
| 08-19 08:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999811 | $8.00 |
| 08-17 11:59 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 01:47 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.779999998 | $8.00 |
| 08-16 01:09 | Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2399999796 | $8.00 |