PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4ca4d91e8c7e993f0df777458c972cb982e65c04

Realised P&L
$25.90
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$143.72

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:47Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.25$8.00
09-16 02:10Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.2699999966$8.00
09-12 03:08Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7899999808$6.18
09-10 08:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.6299999573$1.18
09-08 23:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.68$1.02
09-08 02:38Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.7699999846$8.00
09-07 18:16Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.779999998$8.00
09-07 10:08Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5199999818$8.00
09-03 21:13Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.339999983$8.00
08-23 05:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.8$1.81
08-20 19:21Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7099999885$8.00
08-19 08:17Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.2699999811$8.00
08-17 11:59Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.68$2.00
08-16 01:47Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.779999998$8.00
08-16 01:09Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?BUY0.2399999796$8.00