PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4ca09D7Ff3b6a3265190Bde32f9796F451C0fc59-1779501231068

0x4ca09d7ff3b6a3265190bde32f9796f451c0fc59

Realised P&L
$-227.40
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$95.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1500.064$63.50−$86.50
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? · Yes0.4340.070$24.19−$125.81
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0350.025$7.86−$3.14
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.3790.000$0.00−$221.89

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 15:45Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.034999997$11.00
08-27 15:44Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.15$150.00
08-27 15:43Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?BUY0.4340840158$150.00
05-30 03:52Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.3799999995$193.47
05-23 02:10Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.3699999957$28.42