0x4ca09D7Ff3b6a3265190Bde32f9796F451C0fc59-1779501231068
0x4ca09d7ff3b6a3265190bde32f9796f451c0fc59
- Realised P&L
- $-227.40
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $95.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.064 | $63.50 | −$86.50 |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? · Yes | 0.434 | 0.070 | $24.19 | −$125.81 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.025 | $7.86 | −$3.14 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.379 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$221.89 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 15:45 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.034999997 | $11.00 |
| 08-27 15:44 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |
| 08-27 15:43 | Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | BUY | 0.4340840158 | $150.00 |
| 05-30 03:52 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799999995 | $193.47 |
| 05-23 02:10 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3699999957 | $28.42 |