PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

marco-nyc-chef

0x4c9eb793d34097fad1ea6814d231dd156058b1ca

Realised P&L
$3.23
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$275.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat? · Yes0.9590.960$64.82+$0.03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.9390.949$64.64+$0.65
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? · No0.9300.960$57.57+$1.77
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No0.9740.940$47.63−$1.75
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · Yes0.9730.957$41.30−$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-30 13:55Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?BUY0.992$50.00
04-08 08:04Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.9749999953$20.62