PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF6b1eeba7cD86F797B097d8ebC19237495173560-1776365358030

0x4c8ef133c39e617a60731553d6ea74f421f0501f

Realised P&L
$-67.39
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$136.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 16? · Yes0.6140.565$63.46−$5.54
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 16? · Yes0.2890.355$57.74+$10.73
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 16? · Yes0.6700.680$13.99+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 16? · Yes0.0350.012$1.20−$2.29
Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1PM ET · Up0.8000.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.3410.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$20.89
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.6620.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 09:31Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 16?BUY0.6699999898$13.78
10-15 09:31Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 16?SELL0.29$6.17
10-15 07:20Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 16?BUY0.2975009893$25.00
10-15 07:17Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 16?BUY0.614276542$69.00
10-15 07:15Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 16?BUY0.034$0.36
10-15 06:59Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 16?BUY0.4699999944$10.00
10-14 20:50Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?SELL0.99$73.71
10-14 20:50Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?SELL0.871$66.98
10-14 19:12Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.3699999973$27.55
10-14 19:08Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15?SELL0.35$29.77
10-14 19:05Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.5$38.45
10-14 16:19Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15?BUY0.3527221651$30.00
10-14 07:24Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14?BUY0.9$60.00
10-14 07:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?BUY0.919999993$100.00
10-14 07:19Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?BUY0.0339999997$1.00