0xF6b1eeba7cD86F797B097d8ebC19237495173560-1776365358030
0x4c8ef133c39e617a60731553d6ea74f421f0501f
- Realised P&L
- $-67.39
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $136.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.82at 0.073Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
- +$45.26at 0.382Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?
- +$27.14at 0.512Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$20.56at 0.769Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?
- +$20.29at 0.705Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 09:31 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 16? | BUY | 0.6699999898 | $13.78 |
| 10-15 09:31 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 16? | SELL | 0.29 | $6.17 |
| 10-15 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.2975009893 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.614276542 | $69.00 |
| 10-15 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.034 | $0.36 |
| 10-15 06:59 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 16? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 20:50 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.99 | $73.71 |
| 10-14 20:50 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.871 | $66.98 |
| 10-14 19:12 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.3699999973 | $27.55 |
| 10-14 19:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.35 | $29.77 |
| 10-14 19:05 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5 | $38.45 |
| 10-14 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.3527221651 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 07:24 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14? | BUY | 0.9 | $60.00 |
| 10-14 07:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.919999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 07:19 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0339999997 | $1.00 |