PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Hartwallseltzer

0x4c5e764945d66476ba412f16b362808f941910f2

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$6.6k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$204.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-18.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2250.165$171.56$62.25
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.1060.035$32.62$67.38
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00$200.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$23.31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$835.38
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$10.82

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-02 05:05Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0132439434$10.82
04-02 05:02US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.1057692299$100.00
03-25 10:21Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?BUY0.07$23.31
03-25 10:19US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.1591712748$200.00
03-20 11:03Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.3699999998$835.38
03-02 19:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2248651567$233.81