PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

innocenty

0x4c57e16157d4acea7037dcf12284e3804a9da7de

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$412.8k
Markets traded
583
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded583
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Science City Jena vs. SC RASTA Vechta · Science City Jena0.3901.000$499.74+$304.75
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.9340.961$347.49+$9.59
Wuerzburg vs. Telekom Baskets Bonn · Wuerzburg0.5300.535$267.50+$2.50
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.6320.660$175.01+$7.30
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2220.085$23.38−$37.62
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 · Under0.3000.115$3.83−$6.17
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under0.2900.310$3.10+$0.20
Will British Virgin Islands vs. Montserrat end in a draw? · Yes0.0370.001$0.20−$14.61
China Open: Maddison Inglis vs Zeynep Sonmez · Zeynep Sonmez0.0970.000$0.00−$43.50
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx · Alexander Blockx0.5900.000$0.00−$87.93
Ethiopia vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under0.2800.000$0.00−$80.41
Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell · Maya Joint0.1700.000$0.00−$68.00
Adana: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Blinkova · Emiliana Arango0.1430.000$0.00−$180.00
Armenia vs. Montenegro: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under0.3300.000$0.00−$330.00
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Sho Shimabukuro · Sho Shimabukuro0.3300.000$0.00−$109.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 20:50Will British Virgin Islands vs. Montserrat end in a draw?BUY0.037025$14.81
10-01 13:03Science City Jena vs. SC RASTA VechtaBUY0.39$19.50
10-01 12:42China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub MensikBUY0.41$245.59
10-01 11:37Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael JodarBUY0.3$60.00
10-01 11:24Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael JodarBUY0.89$178.00
10-01 08:41China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezBUY0.59$147.50
10-01 07:46China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezBUY0.59$34.59
10-01 07:26Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou BergsBUY0.96$480.00
09-30 20:00Maxima Roma vs. FC Universitatea ClujBUY0.9892901616$400.00
09-30 14:18China Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata ZarazuaBUY0.24$48.00
09-30 13:56China Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata ZarazuaBUY0.39$78.00
09-30 10:23China Open: Mai Hontama vs Katie BoulterBUY0.12$60.00
09-30 10:15China Open: Mai Hontama vs Katie BoulterBUY0.23$115.00
09-30 08:27China Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Yue YuanBUY0.16$40.00
09-30 08:10China Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Linda FruhvirtovaBUY0.45$180.00