WashTrade
0x4c2da46b289847e3e8377c6f4ca3d520c620f8ae
- Realised P&L
- $142.6k
- Volume
- $15.94M
- Markets traded
- 1,039
- Open portfolio
- $509.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,039
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.7kat 0.702No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
- +$8.4kat 0.926Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?
- +$8.0kat 0.883Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
- +$7.3kat 0.726Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
- +$5.5kat 0.741Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 13:46 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $26.00 |
| 10-31 12:44 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.629444954 | $253.91 |
| 10-29 21:07 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.65 | $26.00 |
| 10-29 11:47 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.61 | $177.96 |
| 10-28 23:29 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.51 |
| 10-28 23:29 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.4168083038 | $132.92 |
| 10-27 10:46 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.07 | $210.00 |
| 10-24 20:40 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.13 | $260.00 |
| 10-24 20:38 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.13 | $390.00 |
| 10-23 19:59 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | SELL | 0.18 | $703.14 |
| 10-23 16:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.18 | $788.17 |
| 10-22 13:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | SELL | 0.4736666667 | $142.10 |
| 10-22 01:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | SELL | 0.42 | $71.26 |
| 10-21 23:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.4476695012 | $156.88 |
| 10-21 23:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? | BUY | 0.72 | $194.41 |