0x4c2123f34316290d1820f29bd5d268c22f7c5ac8
0x4c2123f34316290d1820f29bd5d268c22f7c5ac8
- Realised P&L
- $1.22
- Volume
- $373.05
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $3.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.765 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.620 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.350 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.175 | $0.42 | −$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.59at 0.278Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$4.82at 0.308Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 17?
- +$4.82at 0.308SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$3.72at 0.360Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.66at 0.369Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $184 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:14 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:11 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:10 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:29 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:08 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:36 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:17 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 01:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 03:56 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:55 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 11:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 03:41 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:41 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:49 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:49 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |