PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4c2123f34316290d1820f29bd5d268c22f7c5ac8

Realised P&L
$0.81
Volume
$38.24
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$13.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.6300.991$3.29+$1.20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6701.000$3.12+$1.03
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.7800.775$2.08$0.01
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7000.635$1.90$0.19
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2300.190$1.73$0.36
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7300.395$1.13$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:49Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.7799999701$2.09
08-02 21:14Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2299999285$2.09
08-02 01:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.7299999895$2.09
08-01 16:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.6299999488$2.09
08-01 16:01Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.67$2.09
08-01 01:06Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6999999665$2.09
07-31 17:05New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 17:03Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999264$2.08
07-31 09:01Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99
07-30 13:17Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53