PolyBot

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Traders

0x4c2123f34316290d1820f29bd5d268c22f7c5ac8

0x4c2123f34316290d1820f29bd5d268c22f7c5ac8

Realised P&L
$1.22
Volume
$373.05
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$3.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No0.6200.765$1.23+$0.23
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.6000.620$1.03+$0.03
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.7000.350$0.50−$0.50
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.4200.175$0.42−$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 02:14Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-05 15:11Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-04 23:10Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-02 09:29Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-02 08:08Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-01 10:36Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-01 10:17Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-01 01:43S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-30 03:56SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-29 19:55Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-29 11:41S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-29 03:41Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
09-28 19:41Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-28 10:49Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-28 10:49Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00