VikingFjord
0x4c1dd01173ab34914124ee0997f41dd287f20db6
- Realised P&L
- $-490.97
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $350.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.390 | $63.44 | −$32.53 |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.839 | 0.850 | $50.68 | +$0.68 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.925 | $49.73 | −$0.27 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No | 0.790 | 0.785 | $49.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.745 | 0.705 | $47.34 | −$2.66 |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · No | 0.910 | 0.915 | $47.14 | +$0.26 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.915 | $42.69 | +$1.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.65at 0.833Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$17.61at 0.893Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
- +$13.37at 0.916Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
- +$12.64at 0.897Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$8.15at 0.925Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 18:44 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.5899999998 | $95.97 |
| 10-01 06:41 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.9099999986 | $46.88 |
| 09-30 21:37 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | BUY | 0.9707866197 | $45.50 |
| 09-30 21:36 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 20:34 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999981 | $41.52 |
| 09-30 20:31 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9299999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 20:30 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8386629525 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 20:19 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7446859213 | $50.00 |
| 04-10 05:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3744564456 | $150.23 |
| 04-10 04:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8860237362 | $145.07 |
| 04-10 00:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8222182904 | $119.70 |
| 04-10 00:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999998 | $108.45 |
| 04-10 00:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $109.02 |
| 04-10 00:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9199999996 | $99.86 |
| 04-09 22:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $180.71 |