soldaten
0x4c01e88d0551564c8d1951df6e7908a9ab750b7a
- Realised P&L
- $14.35
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $217.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.940 | $48.74 | +$0.52 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? · No | 0.973 | 0.977 | $48.44 | +$0.17 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.942 | 0.955 | $48.39 | +$0.66 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No | 0.930 | 0.976 | $48.31 | +$2.28 |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? · No | 0.964 | 0.850 | $23.87 | −$3.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.90at 0.940Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.65at 0.961Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?
- +$1.45at 0.971Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
- +$1.30at 0.925Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.10at 0.978US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 12:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |