PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NeedaRideHome

0x4be835a6f3980c758ce94831badf109b841821c6

Realised P&L
$333.65
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$129.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.3030.120$29.69$45.31
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6200.155$25.00$75.00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2800.278$17.84$0.16
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0800.065$14.63$3.38
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2170.170$14.10$3.90
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.115$12.94$5.06
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1880.086$9.54$11.46
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0980.072$5.92$2.08
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00$10.00
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$5.00
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$49.00
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$7.73
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes0.2740.000$0.00$18.00
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:17Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?SELL0.001$0.18
07-21 12:30Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?BUY0.0029999994$5.00
07-21 12:29Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.2739999917$18.00
07-21 12:29Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.1349999938$18.00
07-21 12:28Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.2169862931$18.00
07-21 12:28Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.1882456658$21.00
07-21 12:28Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.0980197917$8.00
07-21 12:25Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?BUY0.1$18.00
07-21 12:24Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$18.00
07-21 12:21Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.27999999$18.00
07-21 12:20Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.08$18.00
03-17 15:22Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.006$7.73
03-17 15:20Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.1189999932$15.00
03-17 15:19Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.0457842921$15.00
03-17 15:19Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.1319999899$10.00