NeedaRideHome
0x4be835a6f3980c758ce94831badf109b841821c6
- Realised P&L
- $291.73
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $123.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$312.62at 0.046Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$177.76at 0.360Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$114.55at 0.141Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$-3.17at 0.530Trump out as President before GTA VI?
- +$-17.82at 0.100Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 10:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1399999995 | $18.00 |
| 08-07 07:11 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.1699999937 | $18.00 |
| 08-03 09:17 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.18 |
| 07-21 12:30 | Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0029999994 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 12:29 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2739999917 | $18.00 |
| 07-21 12:29 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1349999938 | $18.00 |
| 07-21 12:28 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.2169862931 | $18.00 |
| 07-21 12:28 | Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.1882456658 | $21.00 |
| 07-21 12:28 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.0980197917 | $8.00 |
| 07-21 12:25 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $18.00 |
| 07-21 12:24 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $18.00 |
| 07-21 12:21 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.27999999 | $18.00 |
| 07-21 12:20 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.08 | $18.00 |
| 03-17 15:22 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.006 | $7.73 |
| 03-17 15:20 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1189999932 | $15.00 |