PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4bD8d58a18CeEa9F82bc512505554711f2Ea5c53-1719957425788

0x4bd8d58a18ceea9f82bc512505554711f2ea5c53

Realised P&L
$170.74
Volume
$601.7k
Markets traded
450
Open portfolio
$18.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded450
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 23:24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.83$1.2k
10-21 23:23Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.73$219.00
10-04 21:14Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0805642857$56.39
09-30 22:46Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.38$212.80
09-21 12:38Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?BUY0.82$205.00
09-21 12:37Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?BUY0.92$368.00
09-21 12:35Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?BUY0.95$475.00
09-18 13:49Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.73$730.00
09-18 13:41Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.95$190.00
09-18 13:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.84$420.00
09-14 14:34Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.83$415.00
09-14 14:31Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.952$277.15
09-14 10:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.01$21.00
09-13 09:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.83$252.30
09-13 08:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.92$460.00