PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4BD52b48d9ad09587032d24a0731a6784dD51cab-1778512956773

0x4bd52b48d9ad09587032d24a0731a6784dd51cab

Realised P&L
$158.16
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$48.87

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0380.018$3.66−$4.34
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? · No0.3460.260$3.01−$0.99
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.048$2.04−$0.97
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0290.021$1.64−$0.67
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes0.1300.100$1.54−$0.46
Will Hungary win on 2026-10-09? · Yes0.0500.075$1.50+$0.50
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.0800.085$1.06+$0.06
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.0320.034$1.05+$0.05
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0450.023$1.03−$0.97
Will NEC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.1100.110$1.00+$0.00
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-08? · Yes0.1400.135$0.96−$0.04
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.1200.115$0.96−$0.04
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-14? · Yes0.1100.105$0.95−$0.05
Will Peru win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95−$0.05
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.0900.085$0.94−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 01:53Will FC Eindhoven win on 2026-10-09?SELL0.13$0.87
10-06 00:56Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-06?SELL0.0231300052$0.89
10-06 00:56Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06?SELL0.031$0.97
10-06 00:56Will Moldova win on 2026-10-06?SELL0.1$0.89
10-06 00:56Will Niger win on 2026-10-06?SELL0.06$0.86
10-06 00:56Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?SELL0.07$0.88
10-06 00:55Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.109999989$1.00
10-06 00:54Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.08$1.00
10-06 00:53Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-15?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-06 00:53Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-10-15?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
10-06 00:53Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-10-15?BUY0.0196149584$1.00
10-06 00:52Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-06 00:51Will Vitória SC win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-06 00:50Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-06 00:50Will Ansan Greeners FC win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.1$1.00