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Traders

Lukaku-

0x4bcf79e3aae5fd346d8beae8943901f44c00f57f

Realised P&L
$78.00
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
172
Open portfolio
$28.65

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded172
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.8500.951$11.19+$1.19
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2730.289$10.59+$0.59
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8200.635$3.87−$1.13
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1440.291$2.02+$1.02
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on October 16? · Yes0.5400.265$0.98−$1.02
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.7100.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners · Under0.4200.000$0.00−$2.00
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Corners · Over0.6500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 09:45Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on October 16?BUY0.5399999568$2.00
10-01 11:21Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.1439999885$1.00
09-26 19:04Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Spain?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-26 13:13Exact Score: Slovenia 1 - 2 Scotland?BUY0.08$1.00
09-13 12:03Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 2 Manchester City FC?BUY0.1$2.00
08-05 14:53S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.74$1.00
07-18 21:21France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.8$10.00
07-17 03:28Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2729999848$10.00
07-15 19:06Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1699999422$2.00
07-14 19:55Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.361$10.40
07-14 19:19Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
07-12 03:08Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2274998447$1.00
07-12 01:26Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
07-11 20:58Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?BUY0.1299999467$2.00
07-10 16:52Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
Trader Lukaku- · PolyBot Pro