dada420
0x4bc6a6b832440130fb857b94d2734566a3881f05
- Realised P&L
- $-1.55
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $37.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.90at 0.130Chicago Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18, 2026?
- +$8.22at 0.933Will more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?
- +$7.22at 0.061Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 3, 2026?
- +$5.59at 0.898Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?
- +$1.99at 0.669Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 01:33 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $79.33 |
| 10-01 13:47 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 20:40 | Will more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | SELL | 0.985 | $158.86 |
| 09-30 17:34 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999994 | $61.81 |
| 09-25 23:01 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $12.87 |
| 09-25 23:00 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $10.23 |
| 09-25 23:00 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $14.52 |
| 09-25 15:26 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September? | BUY | 0.8932707976 | $49.00 |
| 09-25 15:21 | Will more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | BUY | 0.9300168271 | $150.00 |
| 07-24 16:01 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 13:47 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 07-23 19:35 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Dodgers White House Visit? | BUY | 0.0496534191 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 17:59 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.95 |
| 07-23 15:45 | Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $12.80 |
| 07-22 23:18 | Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $10.56 |