arideno
0x4bc46b8ee21b90abeba0698fae0de819858f7115
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $486.78
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $314.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.715 | $103.62 | +$3.62 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.715 | $53.36 | +$3.36 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.735 | $51.76 | +$1.76 |
| Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.670 | $50.25 | −$9.75 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.464 | 0.403 | $43.37 | −$6.63 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.875 | $12.29 | +$3.30 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 08:35 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.99 |
| 10-23 08:34 | Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship? | BUY | 0.8 | $60.00 |
| 10-23 08:33 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4639999987 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 08:32 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6899999963 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 08:31 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 08:30 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |