PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

arideno

0x4bc46b8ee21b90abeba0698fae0de819858f7115

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$486.78
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$314.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6900.715$103.62+$3.62
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6700.715$53.36+$3.36
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.735$51.76+$1.76
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship? · Yes0.8000.670$50.25−$9.75
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4640.403$43.37−$6.63
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.875$12.29+$3.30

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 08:35NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$8.99
10-23 08:34Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?BUY0.8$60.00
10-23 08:33Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4639999987$50.00
10-23 08:32Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6899999963$100.00
10-23 08:31Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6699999971$50.00
10-23 08:30Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.709999998$50.00