PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aniceguy

0x4bbfbfbc5ab05dd48a6b74a9aab57c4b86f0517e

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$189.8k
Markets traded
6,429
Open portfolio
$68.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,429
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026? · Yes0.0490.122$12.37+$7.37
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1770.203$5.75+$0.75
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.1600.180$5.63+$0.63
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1200.135$5.62+$0.62
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029? · Yes0.0900.085$4.72−$0.28
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0900.085$4.72−$0.28
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.009$4.25−$0.75
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1090.043$3.95−$6.05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1720.123$3.59−$1.41
Greenland snap election called by December 31? · Yes0.1100.056$2.52−$2.48
Will Bad Bunny be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.0700.033$2.36−$2.64
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1800.085$2.36−$2.64
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0560.024$2.10−$2.90
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1300.045$1.73−$3.27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.3600.275$1.53−$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 13:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-28 13:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.4799999846$10.00
09-28 13:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.5$10.00
09-28 13:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.3499999961$9.00
09-28 11:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.5199999792$5.00
09-28 11:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.5$10.00
09-28 11:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY0.4799999846$10.00
09-28 10:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.5221674712$10.00
09-28 09:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.5099999776$10.00
09-28 09:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.4899999824$10.00
09-28 09:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.539999986$10.00
09-28 09:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.5099999776$10.00
09-28 08:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-28 08:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-28 08:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.4799999846$5.00