PolyBot

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Traders

renglish

0x4bbf63e2aa8686841489ff74602b315c96f012aa

Realised P&L
$-139.00
Volume
$13.5k
Markets traded
612
Open portfolio
$371.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded612
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 21:19Will the Democratic Party win the CA-33 House seat?SELL0.94$1.00
08-25 21:18Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?SELL0.946$0.99
08-25 21:18Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoSELL0.951$1.01
08-25 21:18Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?SELL0.953$1.01
08-25 21:18Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?SELL0.94$1.02
08-25 21:18Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat?SELL0.984$1.04
08-25 21:18Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?SELL0.91$3.07
08-25 21:18Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?SELL0.92$3.99
07-31 18:37Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?SELL0.93$0.99
07-31 18:36Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?SELL0.95$2.06
07-31 18:36Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.96$3.16
07-27 18:01Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.121$100.00
07-27 18:01Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0239999998$100.00
07-27 17:59Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.7199999965$50.00
07-27 17:55Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1299999979$50.00