PolyBot

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Traders

0x4ba802e7c8c05ba540f0825aa5e6414c2090bb93

0x4ba802e7c8c05ba540f0825aa5e6414c2090bb93

Realised P&L
$-1.66
Volume
$75.03
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$3.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.6900.915$1.33+$0.33
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.8000.840$1.05+$0.05
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.4600.340$0.74$0.26
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3700.046$0.13$0.87
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes0.3500.016$0.05$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 06:03Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-20 21:47Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-19 07:25Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-18 11:48SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-17 17:31Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-16 00:36Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.78$1.00
09-13 23:16Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-12 15:10Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-09 16:42US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.6099997255$1.00
09-09 08:41Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.4214446194$1.00
09-08 21:57LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?BUY0.8$1.00
09-08 10:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6799996464$1.00
09-07 17:49Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
09-07 08:31Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
09-03 21:26US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.8$1.00