0x4ba802e7c8c05ba540f0825aa5e6414c2090bb93
0x4ba802e7c8c05ba540f0825aa5e6414c2090bb93
- Realised P&L
- $-1.66
- Volume
- $75.03
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $3.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.915 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.800 | 0.840 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.340 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.046 | $0.13 | −$0.87 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.016 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
- +$0.94at 0.520Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:03 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:47 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:25 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:31 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:36 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:16 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 15:10 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4214446194 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 21:57 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 10:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 17:49 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 08:31 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 21:26 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |