0x4ba5355fa03c20ec5903694644623cbfc8b504ea
0x4ba5355fa03c20ec5903694644623cbfc8b504ea
- Realised P&L
- $2.64
- Volume
- $327.14
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $12.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.630 | $2.86 | +$1.86 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.945 | $2.83 | +$1.43 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 1.000 | $2.22 | +$1.22 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.940 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.385 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.790 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.755 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.565 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.024 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.83at 0.262Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$3.31at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$3.31at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
- +$3.21at 0.389S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$2.96at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:43 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:40 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:21 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:21 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:10 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:42 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 12:36 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 04:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 15:58 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:37 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 22:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 14:22 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 03:21 | Will Muse be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:23 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |