AlexKint
0x4b856cc214f6e71e1e7438b685533025c851bd9c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.13
- Volume
- $92.36
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $3.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.835 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.755 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.375 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will FK Chornomorets Odesa win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.415 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs · Broncos | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| 49ers vs. Rams · Rams | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Alabama vs. Kentucky · Kentucky | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Oregon vs. Oklahoma State · Oregon | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.21at 0.167Packers vs. Vikings
- +$-0.11at 0.044Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$-5.28at 0.222Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:54 | Will FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 21:57 | Will FK Polissia win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:12 | Will FK Chornomorets Odesa win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:09 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 22:00 | Packers vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 21:03 | Alabama vs. Kentucky | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 11:19 | Oregon vs. Oklahoma State | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 04:57 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 10:52 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 10:37 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.89 |
| 09-09 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 16:03 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0439999995 | $1.00 |