0x4b6a947935051c8d3f6caf418335cb1f9b1eac70
- Realised P&L
- $-16.79
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $133.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.775 | $131.75 | −$28.05 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.971 | 0.997 | $1.34 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.76at 0.964MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$1.86at 0.967Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$1.31at 0.989Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 18?
- +$1.05at 0.990Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 17?
- +$0.90at 0.989Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 09:38 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $161.53 |
| 05-02 01:37 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $159.22 |
| 03-31 05:17 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.964 | $154.24 |
| 03-19 07:47 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | BUY | 0.995 | $149.25 |
| 03-17 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 18? | BUY | 0.9892764667 | $148.39 |
| 03-16 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $148.50 |
| 03-15 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | BUY | 0.989 | $148.35 |
| 03-15 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 03-15 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $149.70 |