0x4b65c17ec2cbd5d805655ee78af7639125d3957e
- Realised P&L
- $-51.08
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $4.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spotify say "Churn" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.895 | $2.04 | −$0.06 |
| Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A · Team Jenz | 0.530 | 0.460 | $1.13 | −$0.17 |
| Will Spotify say "Meta" during earnings call? · No | 0.880 | 0.895 | $1.07 | +$0.02 |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata leading at halftime? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-02? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.13at 0.210Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
- +$3.48at 0.580Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
- +$2.36at 0.320Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 27?
- +$2.17at 0.146Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$2.05at 0.310Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:54 | Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.001 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 18:52 | Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5) | BUY | 0.001 | $1.11 |
| 08-02 18:52 | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 18:52 | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.0010891089 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 18:49 | LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.001 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 18:48 | Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $5.22 |
| 08-02 16:21 | Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.11 |
| 08-02 16:21 | Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 16:19 | FC Volendam vs. Ajax Amsterdam: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.01 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 16:19 | FC Volendam vs. Ajax Amsterdam: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.01 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 16:19 | FC Volendam vs. Ajax Amsterdam: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.0094304036 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 16:19 | FC Volendam vs. Ajax Amsterdam: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.0010831699 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 16:14 | Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.2099998587 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 10:23 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.001 | $1.11 |
| 08-02 09:23 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.30999993 | $2.26 |