kirani_liao
0x4b65c17ec2cbd5d805655ee78af7639125d3957e
- Realised P&L
- $-154.08
- Volume
- $23.5k
- Markets traded
- 753
- Open portfolio
- $25.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded753
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.18at 0.031Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 2?
- +$18.79at 0.052Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 31?
- +$10.81at 0.198Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage
- +$10.55at 0.096Solana Up or Down - September 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$8.64at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4699998298 | $1.16 |
| 09-25 06:06 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4399998929 | $1.15 |
| 09-25 05:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.4194608121 | $1.16 |
| 09-25 05:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4399998929 | $1.15 |
| 09-25 05:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.4399998929 | $1.15 |
| 09-25 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.16 |
| 09-25 02:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.4399998929 | $1.15 |
| 09-25 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.3399999707 | $1.16 |
| 09-25 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.4599998414 | $1.16 |
| 09-25 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.3299999512 | $1.15 |
| 09-25 01:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.4299999364 | $1.15 |
| 09-25 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.3499999698 | $1.16 |
| 09-25 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.1199999959 | $1.16 |
| 09-25 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3699998979 | $1.16 |
| 09-25 00:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.5199998207 | $1.16 |