PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kirani_liao

0x4b65c17ec2cbd5d805655ee78af7639125d3957e

Realised P&L
$-154.08
Volume
$23.5k
Markets traded
753
Open portfolio
$25.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded753
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 08:36Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 26?BUY0.4699998298$1.16
09-25 06:06Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 27?BUY0.4399998929$1.15
09-25 05:36Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on September 26?BUY0.4194608121$1.16
09-25 05:36Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 27?BUY0.4399998929$1.15
09-25 05:06Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on September 26?BUY0.4399998929$1.15
09-25 03:36Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.29$1.16
09-25 02:36Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on September 26?BUY0.4399998929$1.15
09-25 02:36Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 26?BUY0.3399999707$1.16
09-25 02:05Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 26?BUY0.4599998414$1.16
09-25 01:35Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 26?BUY0.3299999512$1.15
09-25 01:06Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on September 26?BUY0.4299999364$1.15
09-25 00:14Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 26?BUY0.3499999698$1.16
09-25 00:14Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.1199999959$1.16
09-25 00:14Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 26?BUY0.3699998979$1.16
09-25 00:14Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on September 26?BUY0.5199998207$1.16