curiousfund
0x4b3acf8f5f82dc00844aaa9204576dbe29d604be
- Realised P&L
- $-186.34
- Volume
- $90.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,817
- Open portfolio
- $297.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,817
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$344.36at 0.042Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$119.01at 0.401Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$101.59at 0.145Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$89.44at 0.617Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12AM ET
- +$79.87at 0.524Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 19:20 | Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.83 | $7.59 |
| 10-15 19:07 | Will NEC vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 10-15 19:07 | Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.82 | $7.50 |
| 10-15 19:06 | Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.82 | $15.00 |
| 10-15 19:06 | Will NEC vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 10-15 19:01 | Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 10-15 19:01 | Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 10-15 18:32 | Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 18:32 | Jets vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.56 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 18:21 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 10-15 18:04 | Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 18:04 | Jets vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.56 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 18:04 | Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.79 | $6.32 |
| 10-15 17:50 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.68 |
| 10-15 17:50 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.68 |