PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

curiousfund

0x4b3acf8f5f82dc00844aaa9204576dbe29d604be

Realised P&L
$-186.34
Volume
$90.4k
Markets traded
2,817
Open portfolio
$297.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,817
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-10-15? · Yes0.7201.000$28.82+$8.06
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-15? · No0.6301.000$24.17+$8.93
Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.8900.890$21.36+$0.00
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-15? · Yes0.8400.795$20.73−$1.17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? · Yes0.7000.695$16.68−$0.12
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.6401.000$16.37+$5.89
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5) · AFC Bournemouth0.6700.525$16.13−$4.45
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15? · Yes0.0001.000$15.99+$15.99
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5900.515$13.09−$1.91
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.6200.480$11.61−$3.39
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.6200.625$10.07+$0.08
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5 · Over0.5700.565$9.91−$0.09
Jets vs. Blackhawks · Jets0.5600.545$9.72−$0.27
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.3870.359$9.35−$0.72
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7600.580$9.28−$2.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 19:20Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-15?SELL0.83$7.59
10-15 19:07Will NEC vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?SELL0.74$14.80
10-15 19:07Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-15?SELL0.82$7.50
10-15 19:06Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-15?BUY0.82$15.00
10-15 19:06Will NEC vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?BUY0.75$15.00
10-15 19:01Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5BUY0.76$6.08
10-15 19:01Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5BUY0.76$6.08
10-15 18:32Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5BUY0.57$5.00
10-15 18:32Jets vs. BlackhawksBUY0.56$5.00
10-15 18:21Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-15?BUY0.92$7.36
10-15 18:04Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5BUY0.57$5.00
10-15 18:04Jets vs. BlackhawksBUY0.56$5.00
10-15 18:04Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5BUY0.79$6.32
10-15 17:50Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15?BUY0.96$7.68
10-15 17:50Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15?BUY0.96$7.68