kipvonskip
0x4b360a91f2dc04c9c59e5b54064bc440501285bb
- Realised P&L
- $56.29
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $240.42
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.20at 0.070Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 25?
- +$36.04at 0.027Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on June 6?
- +$25.07at 0.642Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
- +$20.00at 0.200Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on May 30?
- +$16.10at 0.195Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on June 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 01:19 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 09-15 01:16 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 09-14 01:43 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-12 03:43 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat? | BUY | 0.84 | $25.20 |
| 09-12 01:40 | Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 00:55 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 09-12 00:41 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-10 02:08 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? | BUY | 0.74 | $22.20 |
| 09-08 01:47 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 21:34 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? | BUY | 0.42 | $16.80 |
| 08-27 00:31 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 08-26 00:56 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.78 | $23.40 |
| 08-26 00:46 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 01:13 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 08-25 01:09 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.51 |