PolyBot

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Traders

PeggyGou

0x4b1cccc0f7074abcb74d599d39689a9d53579c62

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$41.3k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$12.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7550.782$3.2k+$112.28
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8420.866$2.1k+$54.51
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.9280.945$2.0k+$35.24
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · No0.8560.831$1.1k$34.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · No0.9860.994$993.50+$8.00
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.9530.956$881.84+$2.89
Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027? · No0.8750.893$661.36+$13.11
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7400.390$621.22$557.46
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9520.955$418.14+$1.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · Yes0.2170.155$185.24$73.87
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · No0.8960.385$118.97$157.82
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Yes0.2780.105$117.49$194.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? · Yes0.0800.035$117.15$146.85
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? · No0.9150.541$53.03$36.64
Will Lighter reach $20 before 2027? · No0.9830.970$48.50$0.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 20:50Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.92$92.00
09-09 18:59Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 12.5 Total CornersBUY0.83$1.1k
09-07 04:03Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.791$3.96
09-05 11:48Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?BUY0.08$144.00
09-05 11:46Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?BUY0.08$3.60
09-05 11:45Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?BUY0.08$60.40
09-05 11:44Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?BUY0.08$56.00
09-04 10:24Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?BUY0.132$21.25
09-04 10:15Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?BUY0.13$1.49
07-01 07:02Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.74$9.62
06-30 18:26Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.73$9.49
05-16 17:17Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.37$1.85
04-30 19:44MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?SELL0.994$99.65
04-24 12:10Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.7$9.38
04-23 19:09MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?BUY0.925$9.25