PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ariete-avanti

0x4b13c84d627bfe80cc73548b25899e5b8d711e16

Realised P&L
$-37.01
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$239.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · No0.9410.988$52.34+$2.46
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.966$50.23+$0.83
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9400.945$50.09+$0.27
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · No0.9510.831$43.63$6.30
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes0.9310.804$43.42$6.86
Trump kiss by May 31? · No0.9000.000$0.00$49.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 12:00Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.9649999999$50.00
04-10 10:53Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?BUY0.9299999668$21.54
04-07 08:01Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY0.9809999995$21.13