cat-apple
0x4b042c898eba6db6ec8e94957e2baf7c316bcf8b
- Realised P&L
- $470.78
- Volume
- $168.4k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.512 | $512.50 | +$12.50 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.487 | $487.50 | −$12.50 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.041 | $10.76 | −$21.28 |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $3.57 | −$23.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.06at 0.161Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner
- +$79.60at 0.800Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
- +$79.51at 0.569Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winner
- +$55.70at 0.100Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
- +$50.93at 0.031Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 08:27 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $123.26 |
| 06-09 15:31 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $21.70 |
| 05-20 19:00 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $142.50 |
| 05-07 19:40 | Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? | SELL | 0.934 | $56.04 |
| 05-06 19:56 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $11.30 |
| 04-20 17:47 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $59.27 |
| 04-06 08:56 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $112.32 |
| 04-02 19:25 | Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | SELL | 0.23 | $22.54 |
| 04-02 18:57 | Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | SELL | 0.2944126256 | $60.35 |
| 04-02 18:54 | Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | SELL | 0.25 | $11.75 |
| 04-02 18:39 | Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | BUY | 0.15 | $10.65 |
| 04-02 18:36 | Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 04-02 18:26 | Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 04-02 17:01 | Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | SELL | 0.76 | $75.45 |
| 04-02 16:49 | Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | BUY | 0.76 | $74.91 |