PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cat-apple

0x4b042c898eba6db6ec8e94957e2baf7c316bcf8b

Realised P&L
$470.78
Volume
$168.4k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.512$512.50+$12.50
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.487$487.50$12.50
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1220.041$10.76$21.28
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$3.57$23.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 08:27Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.13$123.26
06-09 15:31Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.14$21.70
05-20 19:00Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.19$142.50
05-07 19:40Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?SELL0.934$56.04
05-06 19:56Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.009$11.30
04-20 17:47Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.23$59.27
04-06 08:56Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.78$112.32
04-02 19:25Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaSELL0.23$22.54
04-02 18:57Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaSELL0.2944126256$60.35
04-02 18:54Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaSELL0.25$11.75
04-02 18:39Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaBUY0.15$10.65
04-02 18:36Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaBUY0.13$0.65
04-02 18:26Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaBUY0.18$36.00
04-02 17:01Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers HyderabadSELL0.76$75.45
04-02 16:49Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers HyderabadBUY0.76$74.91