kenpaxtonpatriot
0x4abc2b38beec2d06a497715b7599980d712c52ca
- Realised P&L
- $512.64
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $774.23
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$195.06at 0.393Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
- +$122.09at 0.456Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$37.28at 0.300Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?
- +$36.94at 0.351Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?
- +$35.79at 0.736Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:31 | Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 19:31 | Will Iowa have the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1167093846 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 19:26 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $8.89 |
| 07-21 19:26 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 07-16 16:32 | Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? | BUY | 0.316018171 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 16:31 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.1611008837 | $8.75 |
| 07-16 16:31 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $12.73 |
| 07-16 16:30 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $65.85 |
| 07-09 21:38 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1214873774 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 21:31 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.442596247 | $25.00 |
| 07-07 23:09 | Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | SELL | 0.54 | $39.61 |
| 07-07 02:46 | Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | BUY | 0.4770819763 | $35.00 |
| 05-31 21:15 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1299999968 | $34.48 |
| 05-31 21:12 | Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state? | BUY | 0.1184682811 | $58.66 |
| 05-31 21:08 | Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.1399999959 | $29.00 |