PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4Ab574964c80119FfE82Dec0c2C81BC698bc4D9E-1763233692645

0x4ab574964c80119ffe82dec0c2c81bc698bc4d9e

Realised P&L
$-84.27
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$19.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0510.025$9.67$10.33
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.835$8.35+$3.35
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.006$1.63$0.38
Starmer out by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$2.00
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$4.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-20 18:20Netanyahu out by March 31?SELL0.014$10.41
03-14 11:52Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0739999974$25.00
03-14 11:50Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0739999932$10.00
03-14 11:50Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0739999932$10.00
03-14 11:49Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0739999932$10.00
03-02 09:10Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.219$5.47
03-02 09:10Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?SELL0.116$5.80
03-02 09:10Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?SELL0.0648387097$6.55
03-01 14:59Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0559999949$10.00
03-01 14:56Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.998$65.49
02-28 18:51Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.7$45.94
02-28 07:54Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? SELL0.038$0.66
02-28 07:53Starmer out by February 28, 2026?SELL0.0066103983$6.43
02-25 14:37Will Bill or Hillary publicly testify before congress by Feb 28?SELL0.0216038907$4.18
02-25 14:36Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?SELL0.011$2.30