GratisKatze
0x4a9b8d095871e041953a6bad9f6cc33fbe5993cd
- Realised P&L
- $-30.52
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $24.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.06at 0.056Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?
- +$30.67at 0.025Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$21.32at 0.190Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$19.51at 0.054Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?
- +$10.12at 0.330Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 16:20 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.996 | $6.22 |
| 09-01 18:31 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 18:31 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 15:20 | Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 15:18 | Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August? | BUY | 0.0889999842 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 15:17 | Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 15:16 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1459999599 | $3.00 |
| 09-01 15:14 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 21:14 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 34 and 36 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0018939376 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 21:13 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 32 and 34 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0038091465 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 20:52 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? | BUY | 0.7779999919 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 20:50 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 20:49 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 20:35 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5841450299 | $21.51 |
| 08-30 19:39 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.27 | $12.27 |